There has been a bit of talk lately about tactical voting in Epsom, and the “cup of tea” between PM John Key and ACT Epsom candidate John Banks has been in the news a bit. So what’s going on? The short version of the story is that in New Zealand, where we elect our Parliament [...]
Archive for the ‘Scenario Analysis’ Category
Tactical voting in Epsom
Posted in 2011 NZ General Election, Election Simulation, NZ Electorates, Scenario Analysis, Tactical Voting, tagged ACT Party, Electorate Seats, Epsom on November 19, 2011 | Leave a Comment »
Party Lists and Candidate Election Probabilities
Posted in Election Simulation, Electorate Races, Methodology, Party Lists, Scenario Analysis on February 5, 2010 | 8 Comments »
One of the major goals of this site is to try and predict election results based on recent relevant political polling. This is intended to include not just the total number of seats won by each party, but also viable coalition possibilities and electorate level results. Today I present the simulation results at the candidate [...]
Scenario Analysis, 20th November
Posted in Scenario Analysis on November 26, 2009 | Leave a Comment »
In the last few posts we’ve looked at polling averages and the number of electorate seats and total seats won in Parliament by the various political parties. For most people, however, when looking at political polls the main result they are interested in is which party or coalition would win an election if it was [...]
